PolyWeatherBot
Forecast-driven weather market trading
Windows · macOS · Linux · Docker · Web
PolyWeatherBot turns professional weather forecasting into a trading edge on Polymarket's temperature markets. It blends 10 forecast models — ECMWF, GFS, ICON, ARPEGE, GEM, JMA, NWS, Met.no, WeatherAPI, and an AI-assisted layer — with 82 probabilistic ensemble members, per-city bias correction, and lead-time-aware uncertainty adjustment.
Three configurable strategies do the trading: Best Bet picks the highest-edge temperature bucket, Ladder Bets spreads exposure across adjacent buckets, and Fade the Impossible screens low-probability tails. Minimum-edge gates, position limits, conflict protection, and automatic redemption keep risk contained, and a paper mode lets you test with zero capital.
The real-time dashboard shows trades, P&L, live book state, and event analysis, plus one-click Conservative/Balanced/Aggressive risk presets. Ships as editable source with a guided Docker setup; runs 24/7 on a budget VPS with 2 GB RAM.
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Information
- Developer
- PolyTraderBot
- Category
- Weather
- Price
- $10/mo
- Size
- —
- Languages
- EN
- Age Rating
- 18+
- Compatibility
- Windows, macOS, Linux, Docker, Web
- Source status
- Live site
- External link
- polytraderbot.com ↗
